French election polls: who is leading the race to be the next president of France?

1 month ago 53

France volition ballot to elite a caller president successful April, and the jostling for presumption among imaginable candidates is good nether way. The existent president, Emmanuel Macron, has yet to state his candidacy but is expected to tally again. His second-round hostile from 2017, the far-right populist Marine Le Pen, has already launched her campaign. Alongside them connected the ballot volition beryllium Anne Hidalgo, the Socialist candidate, Yannick Jadot, representing the Green movement, and a campaigner from the centre-right, to beryllium chosen by Les Républicains, connected 4 December. The far-right TV pundit Éric Zemmour, who has nary governmental party, could state an outsider bid.

How the process works

How the process to take a campaigner works

Would-be candidates person until 4 March to contiguous the 500 signatures of elected officials supporting their run, which the instrumentality requires. Some of the politicians hoping to beryllium candidates volition by past person withdrawn from the field, but successful 2017 11 candidates were connected the authoritative ballot.

A archetypal circular is to beryllium held connected 10 April, and successful the apt lawsuit that nary campaigner receives a bulk of the votes, a 2nd circular runoff volition beryllium held 2 weeks later, featuring the 2 starring candidates from the archetypal round.

Polls person shown that the astir apt candidates to participate the run-off are Macron and Le Pen, the person of the far-right Rassemblement National (National Rally) party.

Who mightiness stand, and however bash the polls complaint their chances?

  1. Emmanuel Macron

    La République en Marche

    Latest 7-day mean (first-round preferences):

    -

    France's existent president shook up the country's governmental country successful 2017 erstwhile helium ran without the backing of a large enactment and won. His hastily assembled, centrist République en Marche enactment went connected to triumph that year's parliamentary elections too. Macron, a erstwhile system curate nether the Socialist president François Hollande, is seen by voters arsenic having leaned towards the centre-right successful office.

  2. Marine Le Pen

    Rassemblement National (National rally)

    Latest 7-day mean (first-round preferences):

    -

    Le Pen has led a nationalist relations thrust to effort to sanitise the representation of the anti-immigration far-right National Front, which she took implicit from her begetter successful 2011 and renamed the National Rally successful 2018. The party's people successful June's determination elections was little than predicted aft galore of its accepted voters abstained. Le Pen, successful her 3rd bid to beryllium president, is campaigning connected the party's accepted enactment of curbing migration and 'keeping France for the French'.

  3. Xavier Bertrand

    Independent

    Latest 7-day mean (first-round preferences):

    -

    Xavier Bertrand, a erstwhile curate nether Nicolas Sarkozy, was precocious re-elected caput of the Hauts-de-France portion successful bluish France. He near the party, Les Républicians successful 2017 and had intented to run arsenic an outsider who could unite voters connected the right, from low-income workers to the bourgeoisie. He precocious returned to the fold to instrumentality portion successful the interior enactment ballot connected December 4 to take a candidate.

  4. Valérie Pécresse

    Independent

    Latest 7-day mean (first-round preferences):

    -

    Pécresse was fund curate nether Nicolas Sarkozy and is presently the president of the Ile-de-France region, which includes the French superior and surrounding area. She argues that it is clip for the close to person a pistillate campaigner and describes herself arsenic 'two-thirds Angela Merkel and one-third Margaret Thatcher', which she says means being pugnacious and economy-focused portion gathering consensus. She is lasting successful the Les Républicains interior contention to take a campaigner connected 4 December.

  5. Michel Barnier

    Les Républicains (Republicans)

    Latest 7-day mean (first-round preferences):

    -

    Barnier was the EU's pb negotiator connected Brexit, and is consequently well-known successful Britain, but little truthful successful France. He has returned from Brussels to basal successful the contention to take a campaigner for Les Républicains. He argues that helium has ever been loyal to the enactment and tin unite voters connected the right. He has presented a hardline connected authority, justness and immigration, arguing for a moratorium connected migration and a reassertion of French 'sovereignty' successful narration to the European tribunal of quality rghts.

  6. Eric Zemmour

    Independent

    Latest 7-day mean (first-round preferences):

    -

    Zemmour is simply a far-right TV pundit who has antecedently been convicted for inciting radical hatred and who promotes arguable views specified arsenic the 'great replacement' mentation that Muslim immigrants volition 'replace' the populations of European countries. He has nary governmental enactment and has not yet declared if helium volition motorboat an outsider bid.

  7. Jean-Luc Mélenchon

    La France Insoumise (Unbowed France)

    Latest 7-day mean (first-round preferences):

    -

    Mélenchon is simply a erstwhile Socialist who has stood for assorted leftwing groupings since leaving the party. He stood successful the erstwhile 2 statesmanlike elections, winning much than 10% of the ballot each time, and much than the Socialist campaigner successful 2017.

  8. Yannick Jadot

    Ecologistes (Greens)

    Latest 7-day mean (first-round preferences):

    -

    Jadot is the Green candidate. In the statesmanlike predetermination successful 2017, helium stood down successful favour of the Socialist Benoît Hamon.

  9. Anne Hidalgo

    Socialists

    Latest 7-day mean (first-round preferences):

    -

    Hidalgo is the archetypal pistillate politician of Paris and is successful her 2nd term. She is champion known for her run to trim the fig of cars successful the French capital. As statesmanlike campaigner for the Socialist party, she has highlighted her working-class, migrant roots, promising to amended salaries, notably for teachers.

  10. Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

    Debout La France (Arise France)

    Latest 7-day mean (first-round preferences):

    -

    Dupont-Aignan, the person of the nationalist Debout La France, is simply a person and instrumentality of Nigel Farage and supports a French exit from the EU.

Also successful contention

The slate besides includes galore different imaginable runners, astir of whom usually neglect to canvass much than 3% successful surveys. They see erstwhile Socialist Arnaud Montebourg, Fabien Roussel of the Communist party, Jean Lasalle of the Resistons! (Resist!) enactment and Nathalie Arthaud of Lutte Ouvrière (Workers' Struggle).

What astir the run-off?

France's polling organisations besides inquire respondents however they would ballot successful a hypothetical 2nd round. For evident reasons they ore connected what presently seems the astir apt scenario, a re-run of 2017's Macron-Le Pen vote.

  1. Emmanuel Macron v Marine Le Pen

    This is the halfway scenario, and truthful the 1 astir commonly polled. Macron's pb implicit Le Pen is greater successful second-round polling than successful responses connected first-round choices. In 2017 helium inherited implicit 70% of the different first-round candidate's votes.